Republican · NJ
Michael McGuire
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Michael McGuire (Republican) a 3% chance of winning the 2026 NJ-03 House race (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 3%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 NJ-03 House race | 3% | 2% | 3% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $79K
- Spent
- $78K
- Cash on hand
- $807
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $58K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $21K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Michael Patrick McGuire →
Running against
- Herb Conaway97%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
