Democrat · MN
Ilhan Omar
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ilhan Omar (Democrat) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 MN-05 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 99%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 MN-05 House race | 98% | 97% | 99% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $5.8M
- Spent
- $4.8M
- Cash on hand
- $1.3M
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through July 22, 2026. $5.6M from individuals, $74K from PACs. FEC filings for Ilhan Omar →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
