Republican · CA
James Gallagher
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give James Gallagher (Republican) a 6% chance of winning the 2026 CA-01 House race (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 6%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 CA-01 House race | 6% | 6% | 6% | ▲ 2¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.5M
- Spent
- $1.2M
- Cash on hand
- $333K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $960K from individuals, $276K from PACs. FEC filings for James Gallagher →
Running against
- Mike McGuire94%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
