Democrat · VA
James Walkinshaw
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give James Walkinshaw (Democrat) a 99% chance of winning the 2026 VA-11 House race (Kalshi 99%, Polymarket 100%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 VA-11 House race | 99% | 99% | 100% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $2.8M
- Spent
- $1.8M
- Cash on hand
- $979K
- Outside groups for
- $1.0M
- Outside groups against
- $3K
Through July 15, 2026. $1.8M from individuals, $922K from PACs. FEC filings for James Walkinshaw →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
