Republican · IA
Joe Mitchell
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Joe Mitchell (Republican) a 46% chance of winning the 2026 IA-02 House race (Kalshi 45%, Polymarket 47%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 IA-02 House race | 46% | 45% | 47% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.9M
- Spent
- $1.0M
- Cash on hand
- $896K
- Outside groups for
- $145K
- Outside groups against
- $4.1M
Through June 30, 2026. $1.4M from individuals, $408K from PACs, $100K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Joe Mitchell →
Polls
In the 2026 IA-02 House race, the Parlay polling average has Joe Mitchell at 45% against Lindsay James at 46%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-07-19).
Social buzz
11K interactions with posts about Joe Mitchell in the last 24 hours from 26 people; 61% of posts read as positive, up 64% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
