What are Lindsay James's chances of winning the 2026 IA-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Lindsay James a 54% chance (Kalshi 55%, Polymarket 54%).

How much money has Lindsay James raised?

Lindsay James's campaign has raised $1.6M and has $756K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · IA

Lindsay James

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Lindsay James (Democrat) a 54% chance of winning the 2026 IA-02 House race (Kalshi 55%, Polymarket 54%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 IA-02 House race	54%	55%	54%	▲ 1¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.6M
Spent: $872K
Cash on hand: $756K
Outside groups for: $434K
Outside groups against: $2.7M

Through June 30, 2026. $1.4M from individuals, $200K from PACs. FEC filings for Lindsay James →

Polls

In the 2026 IA-02 House race, the Parlay polling average has Lindsay James at 46% against Joe Mitchell at 45%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-07-19).

Social buzz

12K interactions with posts about Lindsay James in the last 24 hours from 21 people; 32% of posts read as positive, up 109% on last week.

Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.

Recent headlines

Texas Dem James Talarico takes LGBTQ group’s cash — after vowing to ban trans surgeries for kids New York Post · Oct 3

Running against

Joe Mitchell46%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.