What are John Braun's chances of winning the 2026 WA-03 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give John Braun a 10% chance (Kalshi 11%, Polymarket 10%).

How much money has John Braun raised?

John Braun's campaign has raised $2.2M and has $1.3M cash on hand, through August 18, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · WA

John Braun

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give John Braun (Republican) a 10% chance of winning the 2026 WA-03 House race (Kalshi 11%, Polymarket 10%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 WA-03 House race	10%	11%	10%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.2M
Spent: $947K
Cash on hand: $1.3M
Outside groups for: $607K
Outside groups against: $791K

Through August 18, 2026. $1.5M from individuals, $280K from PACs, $11K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for John Braun →

Polls

In the 2026 WA-03 House race, the Parlay polling average has John Braun at 26% against Marie Gluesenkamp Perez at 25%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-07-10).

Running against

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez90%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.