Democrat · WA
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (Democrat) a 90% chance of winning the 2026 WA-03 House race (Kalshi 89%, Polymarket 90%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 WA-03 House race | 90% | 89% | 90% | ▼ 1¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $6.3M
- Spent
- $4.3M
- Cash on hand
- $2.1M
- Outside groups for
- $33K
- Outside groups against
- $2.0M
Through July 15, 2026. $2.5M from individuals, $862K from PACs. FEC filings for Marie Gluesenkamp Perez →
Polls
In the 2026 WA-03 House race, the Parlay polling average has Marie Gluesenkamp Perez at 25% against John Braun at 26%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-07-10).
Running against
- John Braun10%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
