What are John Duresky's chances of winning the 2026 WA-04 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give John Duresky a 7% chance (Kalshi 7%, Polymarket 7%).

How much money has John Duresky raised?

John Duresky's campaign has raised $179K and has $34K cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · WA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give John Duresky (Democrat) a 7% chance of winning the 2026 WA-04 House race (Kalshi 7%, Polymarket 7%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 WA-04 House race	7%	7%	7%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 15, 2026. $171K from individuals, $6K from PACs. FEC filings for John Duresky →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.