What are Jon Bonck's chances of winning the 2026 TX-38 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jon Bonck a 93% chance (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 92%).

How much money has Jon Bonck raised?

Jon Bonck's campaign has raised $1.6M and has $89K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · TX

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jon Bonck (Republican) a 93% chance of winning the 2026 TX-38 House race (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 92%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TX-38 House race	93%	94%	92%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $1.0M from individuals, $173K from PACs, $351K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Jon Bonck →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.