Democrat · TX
Melissa McDonough
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Melissa McDonough (Democrat) a 7% chance of winning the 2026 TX-38 House race (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 8%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 TX-38 House race | 7% | 6% | 8% | ▼ 7¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $67K
- Spent
- $46K
- Cash on hand
- $44K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $37K from individuals, $500 from PACs, $28K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Melissa A McDonough →
Running against
- Jon Bonck93%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
