What are Jordan Herrera's chances of winning the 2026 MO-04 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jordan Herrera a 6% chance (Polymarket 6%).

How much money has Jordan Herrera raised?

Jordan Herrera's campaign has raised $42K and has $19K cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · MO

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jordan Herrera (Democrat) a 6% chance of winning the 2026 MO-04 House race (Polymarket 6%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MO-04 House race	6%	—	6%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 15, 2026. $33K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $9K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Jordan Herrera →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.