Democrat · NY
Joseph Morelle
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Joseph Morelle (Democrat) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 NY-25 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 98%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 NY-25 House race | 97% | 97% | 98% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.8M
- Spent
- $1.8M
- Cash on hand
- $408K
- Outside groups for
- $625K
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $735K from individuals, $853K from PACs. FEC filings for Joseph D Morelle →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
