What are Virginia McIntyre's chances of winning the 2026 NY-25 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Virginia McIntyre a 3% chance (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 2%).

How much money has Virginia McIntyre raised?

Virginia McIntyre's campaign has raised $32K and has $12K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · NY

Virginia McIntyre

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Virginia McIntyre (Republican) a 3% chance of winning the 2026 NY-25 House race (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 2%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NY-25 House race	3%	3%	2%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $32K
Spent: $20K
Cash on hand: $12K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $30K from individuals, $0 from PACs. FEC filings for Virginia McIntyre →

Running against

Joseph Morelle97%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.