Democrat · NY
Josh Riley
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Josh Riley (Democrat) a 99% chance of winning the 2026 NY-19 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 100%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 NY-19 House race | 99% | 97% | 100% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $4.8M
- Spent
- $1.7M
- Cash on hand
- $3.2M
- Outside groups for
- $71K
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $3.5M from individuals, $739K from PACs. FEC filings for Josh Riley →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
