Republican · NY
Peter Oberacker
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Peter Oberacker (Republican) a 1% chance of winning the 2026 NY-19 House race (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 0%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 NY-19 House race | 1% | 3% | 0% | ▼ 1¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.2M
- Spent
- $844K
- Cash on hand
- $393K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $2K
Through June 30, 2026. $455K from individuals, $249K from PACs, $130K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Peter Karl Oberacker Jr. →
Running against
- Josh Riley99%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
