What are Katy Tyndell's chances of winning the 2026 KS-04 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Katy Tyndell a 5% chance (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 5%).

How much money has Katy Tyndell raised?

Katy Tyndell's campaign has raised $234K and has $73K cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · KS

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Katy Tyndell (Democrat) a 5% chance of winning the 2026 KS-04 House race (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 5%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 KS-04 House race	5%	6%	5%	▲ 3¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 15, 2026. $234K from individuals, $0 from PACs. FEC filings for Katy Tyndell →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.