Republican · MT
Kurt Alme
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Kurt Alme (Republican) a 92% chance of winning the 2026 Montana Senate race (Kalshi 93%, Polymarket 91%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Montana Senate race | 92% | 93% | 91% | ▲ 1¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $2.0M
- Spent
- $534K
- Cash on hand
- $1.5M
- Outside groups for
- $2.7M
- Outside groups against
- $1.0M
Through June 30, 2026. $1.0M from individuals, $578K from PACs. FEC filings for Kurt Alme →
Polls
In the 2026 Montana Senate race, the Parlay polling average has Kurt Alme at 54% against Alani Bankhead at 40%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-07-27).
Social buzz
2K interactions with posts about Kurt Alme in the last 24 hours from 24 people; 82% of posts read as positive, down 37% on last week.
- Seth Bodnar New Montana U.S. Senate Race Poll | Kurt Alme | Alani Bankhead Independent Leadership Council · youtube-video
- @JessCAGrl4Life5 Here in Montana our number 1 choice Steve Daines withdraw & Kurt Alme hopped in & DJT, Sheehan & our worthless governor Gianforte have all endorsed him. So of course I will do it. To save our republic we Valerie Murrin · tweet
- @NWLNews @RepRNeill Why not start with Kurt Alme? Montana GOP Senate Nominee Kurt Alme Let Child Sex Offender Off The Hook | HuffPost UK Politics Thursday's Child 🦋 · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
