What are Lauren Reinhold's chances of winning the 2026 KS-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Lauren Reinhold a 5% chance (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 5%).

How much money has Lauren Reinhold raised?

Lauren Reinhold's campaign has raised $48K and has $5K cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · KS

Lauren Reinhold

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Lauren Reinhold (Democrat) a 5% chance of winning the 2026 KS-01 House race (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 5%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 KS-01 House race	5%	4%	5%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $48K
Spent: $43K
Cash on hand: $5K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 15, 2026. $44K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $5K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Lauren Reinhold →

Running against

Tracey Mann95%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.