What are Tracey Mann's chances of winning the 2026 KS-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tracey Mann a 95% chance (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 95%).

How much money has Tracey Mann raised?

Tracey Mann's campaign has raised $1.5M and has $2.7M cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · KS

Tracey Mann

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tracey Mann (Republican) a 95% chance of winning the 2026 KS-01 House race (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 95%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 KS-01 House race	95%	95%	95%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.5M
Spent: $529K
Cash on hand: $2.7M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 15, 2026. $345K from individuals, $598K from PACs. FEC filings for Tracey Robert Mann →

Running against

Lauren Reinhold5%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.