What are Martin Zamora's chances of winning the 2026 NM-03 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Martin Zamora a 3% chance (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 2%).

How much money has Martin Zamora raised?

Martin Zamora's campaign has raised $441K and has $243K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · NM

Martin Zamora

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Martin Zamora (Republican) a 3% chance of winning the 2026 NM-03 House race (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 2%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NM-03 House race	3%	4%	2%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $441K
Spent: $198K
Cash on hand: $243K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $426K from individuals, $14K from PACs. FEC filings for Martin R Zamora →

Running against

Teresa Leger Fernández97%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.