Democrat · NM
Teresa Leger Fernández
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Teresa Leger Fernández (Democrat) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 NM-03 House race (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 98%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 NM-03 House race | 97% | 96% | 98% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
