Democrat · ME
Matt Dunlap
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Matt Dunlap (Democrat) a 35% chance of winning the 2026 ME-02 House race (Kalshi 35%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 ME-02 House race | 35% | 35% | — | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.2M
- Spent
- $977K
- Cash on hand
- $229K
- Outside groups for
- $976K
- Outside groups against
- $197K
Through June 30, 2026. $1.2M from individuals, $14K from PACs, $10K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Matt Dunlap →
Polls
In the 2026 ME-02 House race, the Parlay polling average has Matt Dunlap at 50% against Paul LePage at 47%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-09-30).
Social buzz
204K interactions with posts about Matt Dunlap in the last 24 hours from 57 people; 55% of posts read as positive, down 27% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Paul LePage65%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
