Republican · ME
Paul LePage
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Paul LePage (Republican) a 65% chance of winning the 2026 ME-02 House race (Kalshi 65%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 ME-02 House race | 65% | 65% | — | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $2.6M
- Spent
- $878K
- Cash on hand
- $1.7M
- Outside groups for
- $155K
- Outside groups against
- $2.1M
Through June 30, 2026. $1.4M from individuals, $406K from PACs. FEC filings for Paul Lepage →
Polls
In the 2026 ME-02 House race, the Parlay polling average has Paul LePage at 47% against Matt Dunlap at 50%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-09-30).
Social buzz
240K interactions with posts about Paul LePage in the last 24 hours from 84 people; 59% of posts read as positive, down 74% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Matt Dunlap35%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
