What are Michael Masuda's chances of winning the 2026 CA-05 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Michael Masuda a 7% chance (Kalshi 8%, Polymarket 7%).

How much money has Michael Masuda raised?

Michael Masuda's campaign has raised $362K and has $89K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · CA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Michael Masuda (Democrat) a 7% chance of winning the 2026 CA-05 House race (Kalshi 8%, Polymarket 7%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CA-05 House race	7%	8%	7%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $340K from individuals, $19K from PACs. FEC filings for Michael Masuda →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.