Republican · CA
Tom McClintock
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tom McClintock (Republican) a 93% chance of winning the 2026 CA-05 House race (Kalshi 92%, Polymarket 93%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 CA-05 House race | 93% | 92% | 93% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $929K
- Spent
- $876K
- Cash on hand
- $201K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $770K from individuals, $157K from PACs. FEC filings for Thomas McClintock →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
