What are N’Kiyla Thomas's chances of winning the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give N’Kiyla Thomas a 2% chance (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 1%).

How much money has N’Kiyla Thomas raised?

N’Kiyla Thomas's campaign has raised $57K and has $456 cash on hand, through August 5, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · OK

N’Kiyla Thomas

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give N’Kiyla Thomas (Democrat) a 2% chance of winning the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 1%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 Oklahoma Senate race	2%	2%	1%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $57K
Spent: $58K
Cash on hand: $456
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through August 5, 2026. $56K from individuals, $0 from PACs. FEC filings for N'Kiyla Jasmine - Ann Thomas →

Polls

In the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race, the Parlay polling average has N’Kiyla Thomas at 25% against Kevin Hern at 49%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-08-06).

Running against

Kevin Hern98%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.