What are Nancy Mannion's chances of winning the 2026 PA-11 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Nancy Mannion a 5% chance (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 5%).

How much money has Nancy Mannion raised?

Nancy Mannion's campaign has raised $214K and has $47K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · PA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Nancy Mannion (Democrat) a 5% chance of winning the 2026 PA-11 House race (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 5%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 PA-11 House race	5%	6%	5%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $158K from individuals, $6K from PACs, $47K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Nancy Mannion →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.