What are Nick Langworthy's chances of winning the 2026 NY-23 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Nick Langworthy a 94% chance (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 95%).

How much money has Nick Langworthy raised?

Nick Langworthy's campaign has raised $2.3M and has $2.5M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · NY

Nick Langworthy

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Nick Langworthy (Republican) a 94% chance of winning the 2026 NY-23 House race (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 95%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NY-23 House race	94%	94%	95%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.3M
Spent: $943K
Cash on hand: $2.5M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $894K from individuals, $1.0M from PACs. FEC filings for Nick Langworthy →

Polls

In the 2026 NY-23 House race, the Parlay polling average has Nick Langworthy at 53% against Aaron Gies at 34%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-09-23).

Running against

Aaron Gies6%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.