What are Nicole Gronli's chances of winning the 2026 SD-AL House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Nicole Gronli a 4% chance (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 5%).

How much money has Nicole Gronli raised?

Nicole Gronli's campaign has raised $262K and has $111K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · SD

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Nicole Gronli (Democrat) a 4% chance of winning the 2026 SD-AL House race (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 5%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 SD-AL House race	4%	4%	5%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $246K from individuals, $7K from PACs, $2K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Nicole Gronli →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.