Republican · AZ
Paul Gosar
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Paul Gosar (Republican) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 AZ-09 House race (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 97%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 AZ-09 House race | 96% | 94% | 97% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $580K
- Spent
- $368K
- Cash on hand
- $303K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through July 1, 2026. $490K from individuals, $85K from PACs. FEC filings for Paul Gosar →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
