Democrat · NC
Raymond Smith Jr.
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Raymond Smith Jr. (Democrat) a 15% chance of winning the 2026 NC-03 House race (Kalshi 16%, Polymarket 14%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 NC-03 House race | 15% | 16% | 14% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $223K
- Spent
- $137K
- Cash on hand
- $74K
- Outside groups for
- $7K
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $186K from individuals, $26K from PACs. FEC filings for Raymond Edward Dr. Smith Jr. →
Polls
In the 2026 NC-03 House race, the Parlay polling average has Raymond Smith Jr. at 41% against Greg Murphy at 44%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-08-02).
Running against
- Greg Murphy85%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
