Republican · AL
Rhett Marques
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Rhett Marques (Republican) a 74% chance of winning the 2026 AL-02 House race (Kalshi 75%, Polymarket 74%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 AL-02 House race | 74% | 75% | 74% | ▼ 2¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.3M
- Spent
- $1.1M
- Cash on hand
- $188K
- Outside groups for
- $3.8M
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through July 22, 2026. $1.1M from individuals, $188K from PACs. FEC filings for Rhett Marques →
Polls
In the 2026 AL-02 House race, the Parlay polling average has Rhett Marques at 47% against Shomari Figures at 47%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-08-31).
Social buzz
20K interactions with posts about Rhett Marques in the last 24 hours from 17 people; 76% of posts read as positive, up 1312% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
