Democrat · AL

Shomari Figures

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Shomari Figures (Democrat) a 26% chance of winning the 2026 AL-02 House race (Kalshi 25%, Polymarket 26%).

Odds in every market

MarketChanceKalshiPolymarket24h
2026 AL-02 House race26%25%26%—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised
$1.4M
Spent
$716K
Cash on hand
$663K
Outside groups for
$115K
Outside groups against
$270K

Through July 22, 2026. $491K from individuals, $830K from PACs. FEC filings for Shomari C. Figures →

Polls

In the 2026 AL-02 House race, the Parlay polling average has Shomari Figures at 47% against Rhett Marques at 47%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-08-31).

Social buzz

6K interactions with posts about Shomari Figures in the last 24 hours from 21 people; 33% of posts read as positive, up 992% on last week.

Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.

Running against

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works