Republican · OK
Stephanie Bice
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Stephanie Bice (Republican) a 88% chance of winning the 2026 OK-05 House race (Kalshi 89%, Polymarket 87%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 OK-05 House race | 88% | 89% | 87% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.9M
- Spent
- $1.0M
- Cash on hand
- $2.0M
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $454K from individuals, $974K from PACs. FEC filings for Stephanie Bice →
Polls
In the 2026 OK-05 House race, the Parlay polling average has Stephanie Bice at 48% against Jena Nelson at 43%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-20).
Running against
- Jena Nelson12%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
