Republican · ME
Susan Collins
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Susan Collins (Republican) a 43% chance of winning the 2026 Maine Senate race (Kalshi 44%, Polymarket 42%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Maine Senate race | 43% | 44% | 42% | ▲ 4¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $16.2M
- Spent
- $7.7M
- Cash on hand
- $11.0M
- Outside groups for
- $2.6M
- Outside groups against
- $12.4M
Through June 30, 2026. $10.5M from individuals, $1.2M from PACs. FEC filings for Susan M. Collins →
Polls
In the 2026 Maine Senate race, the Parlay polling average has Susan Collins at 47% against Troy Jackson at 49%, from 13 polls (newest ended 2026-10-01).
Social buzz
1.7M interactions with posts about Susan Collins in the last 24 hours from 821 people; 64% of posts read as positive, down 73% on last week.
- Eight years ago tomorrow, Susan Collins announced her vote for Brett Kavanaugh. She still says: "I do not regret that vote." In 30 days, we’re going to make her regret it. We’re going to vote her out. Jordan Wood · tweet
- 2026 GOP Senate recruits (+some incumbents) tier list ELECTABILITY ONLY: S Tier: Susan Collins A Tier: John Sununu B Tier: Ashley Hinson, Ashley Moody C Tier: Mike Rogers, Jon Husted D Tier: Michael Whatley, Roger Marsha David · tweet
- Apparently this isn’t enough for Collins Dr. Toledo Dem · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Troy Jackson57%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.