Democrat · ME
Troy Jackson
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Troy Jackson (Democrat) a 57% chance of winning the 2026 Maine Senate race (Kalshi 56%, Polymarket 58%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Maine Senate race | 57% | 56% | 58% | ▼ 2¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 Maine Senate race, the Parlay polling average has Troy Jackson at 49% against Susan Collins at 47%, from 13 polls (newest ended 2026-10-01).
Social buzz
1.0M interactions with posts about Troy Jackson in the last 24 hours from 668 people; 64% of posts read as positive, down 30% on last week.
- Candidates who I feel have improved since the primary: -Amy Acton -Abdul El-Sayed -James Talarico -Josh Turek -Adam Hamilton Candidates who have gotten worse since the primary: -Troy Jackson -Mary Peltola -Xavier Becerra Shane 🇺🇸 · tweet
- Probably because Troy Jackson, a former Maine Senate president and logger from Aroostook County, was not the original Democratic nominee. Graham Platner, a Sullivan harbor master, won the June 9 Democratic primary over G LJH · tweet
- “Look at me. I’m doing so much better than that loser Troy Jackson. What a loser. Underruns my margin by 12 points.” Chris · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
