Democrat · VA
Tom Perriello
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tom Perriello (Democrat) a 21% chance of winning the 2026 VA-05 House race (Kalshi 21%, Polymarket 22%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 VA-05 House race | 21% | 21% | 22% | ▲ 2¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $2.1M
- Spent
- $629K
- Cash on hand
- $1.5M
- Outside groups for
- $166K
- Outside groups against
- $162K
Through July 15, 2026. $2.0M from individuals, $107K from PACs, $13K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Thomas Perriello →
Polls
In the 2026 VA-05 House race, the Parlay polling average has Tom Perriello at 45% against John McGuire at 50%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-09-28).
Social buzz
10K interactions with posts about Tom Perriello in the last 24 hours from 26 people; 70% of posts read as positive, up 2% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- John McGuire79%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
