What are Victor Mellor's chances of winning the 2026 RI-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Victor Mellor a 2% chance (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 1%).

How much money has Victor Mellor raised?

Victor Mellor's campaign has raised $3.0M and has $277K cash on hand, through August 20, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · RI

Victor Mellor

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Victor Mellor (Republican) a 2% chance of winning the 2026 RI-02 House race (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 1%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 RI-02 House race	2%	4%	1%	▲ 2¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $3.0M
Spent: $3.9M
Cash on hand: $277K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through August 20, 2026. $32K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $2.9M of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Victor G. Mellor →

Running against

Seth Magaziner98%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.