Daily market report
Election markets on Friday, May 29, 2026
Republicans ended the day 54% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 79% to win the House; the biggest move was CT-05 (Connecticut), where Democratic odds went from 93% to 72%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| CT-05 (Connecticut) | D 93% | D 72% | ▼ 20.4 |
| GA-02 (Georgia) | D 73% | D 87% | ▲ 14.3 |
| NY-18 (New York) | D 76% | D 62% | ▼ 14.2 |
| UT-03 (Utah) | D 13% | D 27% | ▲ 13.6 |
| FL-02 (Florida) | D 20% | D 33% | ▲ 12.9 |
| TX-31 (Texas) | D 17% | D 30% | ▲ 12.7 |
| TX-38 (Texas) | D 22% | D 34% | ▲ 11.9 |
| NV-01 (Nevada) | D 70% | D 59% | ▼ 10.9 |
| UT-02 (Utah) | D 11% | D 19% | ▲ 7.5 |
| MO-05 (Missouri) | D 28% | D 35% | ▲ 7.0 |
