Daily market report
Election markets on Thursday, May 28, 2026
Republicans ended the day 54% to win the Senate (Democratic odds down 0.6 points); Democrats ended the day 79% to win the House; the biggest move was MI-03 (Michigan), where Democratic odds went from 67% to 89%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| MI-03 (Michigan) | D 67% | D 89% | ▲ 21.4 |
| NV-01 (Nevada) | D 52% | D 70% | ▲ 18.4 |
| Vermont Governor | D 25% | D 9% | ▼ 15.4 |
| GA-02 (Georgia) | D 84% | D 73% | ▼ 11.3 |
| MD-07 (Maryland) | D 82% | D 93% | ▲ 10.6 |
| NY-18 (New York) | D 66% | D 76% | ▲ 10.0 |
| NC-05 (North Carolina) | D 10% | D 18% | ▲ 8.5 |
| NC-03 (North Carolina) | D 23% | D 16% | ▼ 7.5 |
| NM-03 (New Mexico) | D 78% | D 72% | ▼ 5.9 |
| OH-01 (Ohio) | D 76% | D 70% | ▼ 5.4 |
