Daily market report
Election markets on Sunday, June 7, 2026
Republicans ended the day 56% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 79% to win the House; the biggest move was CT-05 (Connecticut), where Democratic odds went from 69% to 90%; 2 races changed favorites.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| CT-05 (Connecticut) | D 69% | D 90% | ▲ 20.4 |
| MN-06 (Minnesota) | D 37% | D 21% | ▼ 15.5 |
| TX-31 (Texas) | D 33% | D 19% | ▼ 13.8 |
| FL-18 (Florida) | D 33% | D 20% | ▼ 13.7 |
| FL-01 (Florida) | D 23% | D 10% | ▼ 13.2 |
| NC-07 (North Carolina) | D 35% | D 23% | ▼ 11.9 |
| MN-02 (Minnesota) | D 79% | D 89% | ▲ 10.0 |
| PA-17 (Pennsylvania) | D 48% | D 56% | ▲ 8.4 |
| NJ-09 (New Jersey) | D 61% | D 68% | ▲ 7.4 |
| MI-10 (Michigan) | D 61% | D 68% | ▲ 7.4 |
Lead changes
- MT-01 (Montana)Republican now favored: D 51% → 45%
- PA-17 (Pennsylvania)Democrat now favored: D 48% → 56%
