Daily market report
Election markets on Tuesday, June 9, 2026
Republicans ended the day 55% to win the Senate (Democratic odds up 0.7 points); Democrats ended the day 80% to win the House (Democratic odds up 0.5 points); the biggest move was NJ-03 (New Jersey), where Democratic odds went from 88% to 71%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| NJ-03 (New Jersey) | D 88% | D 71% | ▼ 17.6 |
| CT-05 (Connecticut) | D 91% | D 74% | ▼ 16.6 |
| FL-03 (Florida) | D 15% | D 31% | ▲ 15.9 |
| IN-04 (Indiana) | D 16% | D 30% | ▲ 13.9 |
| NC-03 (North Carolina) | D 16% | D 30% | ▲ 13.8 |
| TX-17 (Texas) | D 21% | D 34% | ▲ 13.5 |
| NC-07 (North Carolina) | D 22% | D 35% | ▲ 13.1 |
| TX-27 (Texas) | D 13% | D 26% | ▲ 12.4 |
| MS-04 (Mississippi) | D 8% | D 20% | ▲ 12.1 |
| UT-02 (Utah) | D 30% | D 19% | ▼ 11.3 |
