Daily market report
Election markets on Wednesday, June 10, 2026
Republicans ended the day 56% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 79% to win the House; the biggest move was IN-04 (Indiana), where Democratic odds went from 30% to 13%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| IN-04 (Indiana) | D 30% | D 13% | ▼ 17.0 |
| MN-02 (Minnesota) | D 70% | D 85% | ▲ 14.9 |
| MS-04 (Mississippi) | D 20% | D 8% | ▼ 12.2 |
| NC-06 (North Carolina) | D 33% | D 21% | ▼ 12.0 |
| NJ-09 (New Jersey) | D 60% | D 71% | ▲ 11.1 |
| UT-02 (Utah) | D 19% | D 28% | ▲ 9.1 |
| OK-04 (Oklahoma) | D 5% | D 14% | ▲ 8.7 |
| NC-11 (North Carolina) | D 67% | D 59% | ▼ 8.6 |
| IA-03 (Iowa) | D 67% | D 59% | ▼ 7.5 |
| FL-02 (Florida) | D 21% | D 14% | ▼ 6.7 |
