Daily market report
Election markets on Thursday, June 11, 2026
Republicans ended the day 56% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 80% to win the House; the biggest move was NJ-03 (New Jersey), where Democratic odds went from 71% to 89%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| NJ-03 (New Jersey) | D 71% | D 89% | ▲ 17.9 |
| FL-03 (Florida) | D 31% | D 14% | ▼ 16.9 |
| NM-03 (New Mexico) | D 71% | D 87% | ▲ 16.1 |
| TX-31 (Texas) | D 33% | D 17% | ▼ 15.1 |
| TX-10 (Texas) | D 33% | D 18% | ▼ 15.0 |
| MN-02 (Minnesota) | D 85% | D 71% | ▼ 14.3 |
| UT-02 (Utah) | D 28% | D 14% | ▼ 14.0 |
| FL-18 (Florida) | D 33% | D 19% | ▼ 13.9 |
| TX-27 (Texas) | D 25% | D 12% | ▼ 13.0 |
| NC-03 (North Carolina) | D 28% | D 15% | ▼ 12.7 |
