Daily market report
Election markets on Saturday, July 11, 2026
Republicans ended the day 55% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 83% to win the House; the biggest move was FL-13 (Florida), where Democratic odds went from 29% to 24%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| FL-13 (Florida) | D 29% | D 24% | ▼ 5.7 |
| New Mexico Senate | D 90% | D 95% | ▲ 4.4 |
| MI-07 (Michigan) | D 77% | D 73% | ▼ 4.1 |
| MD-01 (Maryland) | D 18% | D 14% | ▼ 4.0 |
| OH-15 (Ohio) | D 32% | D 29% | ▼ 3.7 |
| KS-03 (Kansas) | D 87% | D 91% | ▲ 3.5 |
| MD-08 (Maryland) | D 95% | D 98% | ▲ 3.5 |
| NY-02 (New York) | D 23% | D 27% | ▲ 3.4 |
| SC-01 (South Carolina) | D 27% | D 31% | ▲ 3.3 |
| NV-03 (Nevada) | D 81% | D 85% | ▲ 3.2 |
