Daily market report
Election markets on Friday, July 17, 2026
Republicans ended the day 56% to win the Senate (Democratic odds down 0.7 points); Democrats ended the day 83% to win the House; the biggest move was FL-22 (Florida), where Democratic odds went from 17% to 28%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| FL-22 (Florida) | D 17% | D 28% | ▲ 11.0 |
| NY-01 (New York) | D 36% | D 27% | ▼ 8.4 |
| TX-15 (Texas) | D 55% | D 48% | ▼ 7.2 |
| MN-06 (Minnesota) | D 19% | D 13% | ▼ 6.6 |
| NY-02 (New York) | D 27% | D 20% | ▼ 6.6 |
| GA-07 (Georgia) | D 17% | D 10% | ▼ 6.4 |
| FL-27 (Florida) | D 32% | D 26% | ▼ 6.4 |
| TX-31 (Texas) | D 18% | D 12% | ▼ 5.5 |
| Georgia Governor | D 51% | D 56% | ▲ 5.3 |
| TN-05 (Tennessee) | D 25% | D 20% | ▼ 5.2 |
