Daily market report
Election markets on Saturday, July 18, 2026
Republicans ended the day 56% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 84% to win the House; the biggest move was SC-01 (South Carolina), where Democratic odds went from 24% to 29%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC-01 (South Carolina) | D 24% | D 29% | ▲ 4.7 |
| OR-05 (Oregon) | D 88% | D 92% | ▲ 4.2 |
| CT-05 (Connecticut) | D 92% | D 96% | ▲ 4.0 |
| FL-22 (Florida) | D 28% | D 31% | ▲ 3.6 |
| MN-08 (Minnesota) | D 20% | D 23% | ▲ 3.4 |
| OH-15 (Ohio) | D 29% | D 32% | ▲ 3.3 |
| AZ-05 (Arizona) | D 14% | D 17% | ▲ 3.1 |
| MO-05 (Missouri) | D 18% | D 16% | ▼ 2.8 |
| TX-35 (Texas) | D 44% | D 47% | ▲ 2.7 |
| DE-AL (Delaware) | D 94% | D 96% | ▲ 2.6 |
