Daily market report
Election markets on Sunday, July 19, 2026
Republicans ended the day 56% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 84% to win the House; the biggest move was OH-07 (Ohio), where Democratic odds went from 38% to 50%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| OH-07 (Ohio) | D 38% | D 50% | ▲ 12.3 |
| CA-22 (California) | D 80% | D 84% | ▲ 4.2 |
| CT-05 (Connecticut) | D 96% | D 92% | ▼ 4.0 |
| FL-13 (Florida) | D 24% | D 27% | ▲ 3.7 |
| Wisconsin Governor | D 65% | D 62% | ▼ 3.7 |
| MD-07 (Maryland) | D 98% | D 94% | ▼ 3.5 |
| NV-03 (Nevada) | D 81% | D 85% | ▲ 3.5 |
| IN-05 (Indiana) | D 17% | D 20% | ▲ 3.4 |
| OH-15 (Ohio) | D 32% | D 29% | ▼ 3.3 |
| MI-12 (Michigan) | D 97% | D 94% | ▼ 3.3 |
