Daily market report
Election markets on Monday, July 20, 2026
Republicans ended the day 56% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 84% to win the House; the biggest move was TX-17 (Texas), where Democratic odds went from 17% to 10%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| TX-17 (Texas) | D 17% | D 10% | ▼ 6.5 |
| OH-07 (Ohio) | D 50% | D 44% | ▼ 6.2 |
| FL-09 (Florida) | D 31% | D 26% | ▼ 5.2 |
| WA-08 (Washington) | D 88% | D 93% | ▲ 4.8 |
| MN-08 (Minnesota) | D 23% | D 19% | ▼ 4.4 |
| FL-13 (Florida) | D 27% | D 23% | ▼ 4.3 |
| FL-16 (Florida) | D 26% | D 22% | ▼ 4.2 |
| NY-23 (New York) | D 17% | D 13% | ▼ 4.1 |
| CT-05 (Connecticut) | D 92% | D 96% | ▲ 4.0 |
| IN-05 (Indiana) | D 20% | D 16% | ▼ 3.7 |
